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国内钢市成交乏力又现跌势 进口矿价处下行通道

2017-05-07 11:11:16   新华社

新华社上海5月7日电 题:国内钢市成交乏力又现跌势 进口矿价处下行通道

新华社记者 李荣

国内现货钢市依然未过“高位成交乏力”这个坎,钢价又现跌势,市场心态转差。进口铁矿石价格先涨后跌,又进入了下行通道。

据国内知名钢铁资讯机构“我的钢铁”提供的最新市场报告,最近一周,国内现货钢价综合指数报收于122.53点,一周下跌0.02%。从具体行情来看,钢价可谓“大起大落”,上半周在钢坯大涨等因素的带动下,市场延续了反弹的走势,但高位成交乏力。下半周,钢材期货市场下挫,现货钢价也跟随着大幅下跌,市场心态受到影响。由于成交乏力,“去库存”的速度放缓,而钢厂的产量又没有大的下降,后期市场的销售压力有增无减。终端用户在价格走跌的情况下,只按需进行采购。

据分析,在建筑钢市场上,价格涨跌互现。上海、杭州、京津冀市场吨价一周下跌40元至110元,而广州、武汉、沈阳等地价格则略有上涨。从上海等地的情况来看,目前钢市的主要问题是,价格快速拉涨后,高位成交乏力,钢价又不得不大幅回落。整体来看,随着新资源的陆续补充,高库存的压力重现,而需求并没有大的改观。

在板材市场上,价格总体下跌。热轧板卷价格大幅下跌,上海、杭州、广州等地吨价一周下跌20元至180元,而南京、石家庄等个别地区价格略有上涨。不少地区终端需求萎缩明显,市场的看空氛围较重。中厚板价格以跌为主,济南、广州、武汉等地吨价一周下跌20元至60元,只有杭州、太原等少数地区价格略有上涨。市场内既是高位成交乏力,又在价格下挫后出现“买涨不买跌”的心态影响下,下游用户持币观望,采购意愿较差。

铁矿石市场总体依然不乐观。据“西本新干线”的最新报告,在国产矿市场上,节后河北地区铁精粉价格虽有上涨,但是继续上行的动力明显不足。进口矿价格则是先涨后跌,截至4日,普氏62%品位铁矿石指数报收于每吨63.4美元,较节前下跌3.9美元。近期,海外矿发货量维持高位,港口铁矿石库存再次大幅攀升,创出历史新高。同时,由于近期钢材利润空间收窄,订单情况也不理想,华北、华东部分钢厂安排5月份高炉检修,高炉的开工率将有小幅下降,对铁矿石的需求也会有所趋弱。

相关机构分析认为,目前国内钢市的市场需求已开始由传统旺季向淡季转换,而钢厂的生产尚未出现大的调整,依然维持高位,尤其是各钢厂建筑钢的生产基本都是满负荷运行,接下来即使钢厂在高炉检修上作出一些安排,但是钢市基本面的供需格局难有根本上的扭转,钢价在经过前一阶段的反弹之后,短期内将会再度转入震荡下行的通道内。

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