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众安招股遭热捧 “三马”概念能撑起千亿港元估值吗

2017-09-20 10:22:17   央广网

一名不愿意透露姓名的香港投资者对第一财经记者称,从估值来说,众安在线的价格偏贵,而且集资金额也比较大,但究竟表现如何需要看市场流动性如何,如果可以像美图公司一样,可以进ETF,那么是值得中长线持有的。

亏损业绩能否赢得投资者信任?

众安在线在招股文件中称,2014年、2015年及2016年,公司的净利润分别为3700万元、4430万元及940万元,而同期公司的承保亏损分别为6150万元、5.12亿元及1.53亿元,众安在线的综合成本率分别为108.06%、126.6%及104.7%。

众安在线称,公司的承保亏损主要是由于公司处于早期发展阶段,并主要专注在扩展公司的业务规模,透过与更多的生态系统伙伴建立联系,并推出更多的产品以覆盖更多的客户并驱动长期增长。此外,在今年首季,众安在线录得亏损净额达到2.02亿元,预计2017年还会出现重大亏损净额,而公司的经营业绩还会受维持及发展与公司生态系统伙伴关系的能力所影响。

实际上,众安在线的总收入很大程度上依赖其股东及关联方合作取得,众安在线的股东主要是蚂蚁金服和平安保险,公司依赖股东及关联方的系统及平台发掘并解决不同消费者的需求,比如开发退货运费险,并把退货运费险嵌入淘宝的订单系统。

众安在线称,在业务规模迅速扩展期间,需要巨额的开支,众安在线的咨询费及服务费占其已赚保费净额的百分比,由2014年的13.3%上升至2015年的30.7%,到2016年更增加至33.9%。

值得留意的是,在2014年、2015年、2016年及截至2017年3月31日的3个月,众安在线来自或透过股东及关联方产生的总保费分别占总保费的98%、87.9%、73.4%及59.3%,公司预计,来自或透过股东及关联方产生的总保费日后将继续占公司总保费很大部分。

而作为回报,众安在线会向生态系统中的合作伙伴支付技术服务费,2016年及截至2017年3月31日的3个月,众安在线向五大生态系统合作伙伴支付的手续费、佣金及技术服务费总额分别为9.66亿元及2.51亿元。

根据招股文件,众安在线的手续费及佣金占比在进一步增加,由2014年的2.3%上升至2015年的5.2%,进一步上升到2016年的8.9%,同时,众安在线的研发投资也很大,占总保费的百分比由2014年及2015年的2.8%,上升至2016年的6.3%。

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