404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170916/31429001.html |
Server: |
cms-9-53 |
Date: |
2024/12/02 18:42:02 |
Powered by China
China
北京大学汇丰商学院院长、经济学教授海闻做客深圳创新发展研究院
央广网深圳9月16日消息(记者大为) 9月15日,在深圳创新发展研究院智库报告厅,北京大学汇丰商学院院长,北京大学经济学教授、博士生导师海闻做了中国经济新周期来临?——如何判断中国经济未来走势的主题演讲。海闻在深圳创新发展研究院发表演讲时表示,经济周期波动是产业结构调整所致,目前中国经济还处于2008年以来的宏观经济周期。不过,总体来讲,中国这一轮经济周期正在企稳向好。近年来,中国经济增速有所放缓,GDP增速从2011年的9.5%下降到2016年的6.7%,令外界对中国未来经济发展产生不少忧虑。海闻认为,中国经济增速下行的主要原因是宏观经济的周期波动,以及中等收入时期缺乏经济增长的动力。实际上,每一次宏观经济的周期波动都包括经济的衰退、底谷、复苏以及顶峰。从1978年到2016年,数据显示,中国经济曾出现过3次“底谷”,分别为1980年代初、1990年代初和1990年代末。
对于中国未来的经济走势,海闻显得比较乐观。他指出,任何国家的经济一定是波浪形前进的,未来几年,中国经济的增长速度或将达到7%,一个新的周期可能在未来两三年内到来。而未来二十年内,中国经济保持增长也不存在问题。海闻说,和发达国家相比,中国经济有三个特殊因素。第一,我国还在发展中,仍处于起飞阶段,即使从中长期来看,我们仍然要比别的国家增长得更快。第二,中国是转型中的国家,转型本身带来很多方面的改革,可以释放很多的空间。第三,中国是一个大国,大国的经济发展比小国有更大的动力。“未来中国经济的增长动力将和现在不一样,前面30年我们很大程度上取决于制造业,特别是劳动密集型制造业,将来10年甚至20年里,主要增长动力来自服务业。”海闻说。不过,中国经济在发展过程中也面临着挑战。
海闻表示,其中一个挑战是市场经济体制的建立,目前利益集团对改革的抵抗力是很强的,需要一个强有力的中央政府来推动。中国面临的另一大挑战是人才流动,制度好了人才能否适应将至关重要。中国要深化改革,便要积极参与国际事务,最重要的是分享经济增长的成果。
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170916/31429001.html |
Server: |
cms-9-53 |
Date: |
2024/12/02 18:42:02 |
Powered by China
China
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170916/31429001.html |
Server: |
cms-9-53 |
Date: |
2024/12/02 18:42:02 |
Powered by China
China
相关阅读
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170916/31429001.html |
Server: |
cms-9-53 |
Date: |
2024/12/02 18:42:02 |
Powered by China
China
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170916/31429001.html |
Server: |
cms-9-53 |
Date: |
2024/12/02 18:42:02 |
Powered by China
China
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170916/31429001.html |
Server: |
cms-9-53 |
Date: |
2024/12/02 18:42:02 |
Powered by China
China
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170916/31429001.html |
Server: |
cms-9-53 |
Date: |
2024/12/02 18:42:02 |
Powered by China
China
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170916/31429001.html |
Server: |
cms-9-53 |
Date: |
2024/12/02 18:42:02 |
Powered by China
China
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170916/31429001.html |
Server: |
cms-9-53 |
Date: |
2024/12/02 18:42:02 |
Powered by China
China
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170916/31429001.html |
Server: |
cms-9-53 |
Date: |
2024/12/02 18:42:02 |
Powered by China
China
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170916/31429001.html |
Server: |
cms-9-53 |
Date: |
2024/12/02 18:42:02 |
Powered by China
China
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170916/31429001.html |
Server: |
cms-9-53 |
Date: |
2024/12/02 18:42:02 |
Powered by China
China
加载更多>>
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170916/31429001.html |
Server: |
cms-9-53 |
Date: |
2024/12/02 18:42:02 |
Powered by China
China
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170916/31429001.html |
Server: |
cms-9-53 |
Date: |
2024/12/02 18:42:02 |
Powered by China
China
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170916/31429001.html |
Server: |
cms-9-53 |
Date: |
2024/12/02 18:42:02 |
Powered by China
China