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专家谈金砖机制未来发展方向:期待厦门峰会开启崭新“黄金十年”

2017-08-21 10:06:34   国际在线

国际在线报道(记者 国丹):金砖国家领导人第九次会晤将于九月在厦门举行。过去十年,金砖国家以经济合作为主线,建立起覆盖政治、经济、人文交流等全方位、宽领域、多层次的伙伴关系。在当前经济全球化发展的关键节点,世界经济增长需要新动力,金砖国家和新兴市场国家在对世界经济做出巨大贡献的同时,自身发展也面临着不小的挑战,金砖合作能否实现第二个“黄金十年”?广东工业大学金砖国家研究中心主任蔡春林日前接受了记者专访,就金砖各国未来合作方向,金砖机制对接“一带一路”倡议等问题作出解读,并对厦门峰会成果提出期待。

未来金砖国家合作的方向

蔡春林认为,金砖国家可从构建完善全球价值链的角度,推动产业合作,为引领全球化发展提供新路径。未来金砖国家可按照彼此不同的比较优势和基础条件发展产能合作,结合各国经济发展的实际需要,在贸易、投资与合作的方式和领域上有所区别,采取互补型贸易、梯度型转移和产业链分工三种路径,进一步提高金砖国家产能合作的针对性和有效性。

蔡春林说,产业合作是务实合作的基础点,是一个撬动其他方面合作的支点,金砖国家在这方面有共识,也有分歧,未来可以通过研讨、交流、沟通来解决分歧。产业合作是一个全方位的,全生命周期的合作,它不是一种简单的所谓的过剩产能的输出,而是在产业的初创、成长、成熟、衰退等各个阶段,在新兴产业、成熟产业、优势产业等各个领域进行的全方位合作与整合。通过整合成熟产业、带动新兴产业、做强优势产业方面激活金砖国家增长动力和潜力,共同引领全球经济强劲、均衡、可持续发展。

蔡春林表示,全球经济治理也是金砖国家未来合作的一个重点领域。金砖国家应加强在多边机制中的协调与合作,打造南南合作新平台。同时,在二十国集团、联合国、世界银行、国际货币基金组织、世界贸易组织等重要国际机构及合作框架下加强政策沟通协调,推动改革议程,进行“金砖+”式合作,发出金砖声音,提供金砖方案,共同完善全球经济治理,推动国际秩序朝着更加公正、合理、高效的方向发展。

蔡春林认为金砖国家应加强金融危机管理的合作。金砖国家应建立风险预警和危机应对机制以应对金融市场的脆弱性,调节货币市场的波动。同时,加强宏观经济研究,提高应急储备安排的可操作性。

金砖国家在强化应急储备安排机制的基础上,尝试设立金砖国家稳定委员会,在金融政策协调、风险预测、分析、评估和防范方面,形成常态化的金融风险应急响应机制,防范全球金融风险传导至金砖国家金融市场。

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