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7月份70城房价持平或下降 楼市继续降温

2017-08-19 10:16:28   央广网

央广网北京8月19日消息(记者张棉棉实习记者项大宇)据中国之声《新闻纵横》报道,最近两天天气逐渐转凉,楼市也在不断降温。国家统计局昨天(18日)公布,7月70个大中城市房价环比持平或下降的城市个数增加,15个一线和热点二线城市新建商品房价格同比涨幅继续全部回落。专家分析,因地制宜、因城施策效果进一步显现,投资、投机性需求进一步退出。严厉的楼市政策会划上休止符吗?本轮房价调整又将持续多久?

据测算,7月70个大中城市中,房价环比持平或下降城市个数增加,特别是一线城市新建商品房和二手房价格同比涨幅均连续10个月回落,7月份比上月分别回落1.7和2.0个百分点。其中,新建商品房除北京外,上海房价和上月持平,广州比上月上涨0.4个百分点,深圳比上月下调0.2个百分点。深圳房价去年时一度以20%左右的环比、同比增速疯涨,而现在喧嚣过去,价格逐渐回归理性。

上半年新房价格同样下跌10—15%左右的还有北京,7月北京新房价格环比下降0.1个百分点。位于北京市核心城区——二环附近区域的北京链家地产某中介说,今年上半年,自从3·17政策落地后,限购、限贷政策不断收紧,虽然近几个月成交量没有特别上涨,但是来看房的人越来越多,他3月时一共休息了四天,但是7月一整月才休息一天,“房贷等政策出了很多,压低了房价,短期内不会涨,坚持到年底没有问题。”

但整体而言,三、四线城市房价仍在较快增长的通道中。数据显示,70个大中城市7月新房环比价格上涨最多的是金华、韶关和南宁,环比都上涨1.3个百分点。哈尔滨7月新房价格环比上涨0.6个百分点。市民王女士上半年她看了很多房子,和年初相比,好一些的地段楼盘价格上涨幅度都在15%左右,“刚开始看的房子才60多万,两室一厅,但现在都在100万以上,涨的特别多。基本上每个月都10万、20万那么涨。”

中原地产市场研究部总监张大伟认为,本轮房价调整周期或将持续至今年年底,“北京后续目前来看价格还有一进步挤压泡沫的空间,比如上海、深圳等城市最近的价格也有调整,调整幅度都比统计的指数里面稍微高一些,但是后续从整个政策压力来看,起码目前楼市调整会持续到四季度。”

按照“房子是用来住的,不是用来炒的”这样的理念,开发商、二手中介、普通购房者等正在慢慢形成共识,投机客逐渐退出市场。但是,我国的楼市泡沫形成原因较为复杂,有专家分析,城镇化过程中,人口过度集中在大城市带来的不均衡是其中重要原因,未来随着一线城市周边城市群的发展,以及诸多二线城市的崛起,这种不均衡有望得以缓解,但这是一个较长的过程,是建立房地产长效机制的途径之一,在此之前,中国仍将坚持因城施策的分类调控。

目前,包括供需新政开闸——“租售同权”,在北京“京籍”与“非京籍”的符合条件的承租人子女将享有同等所在区义务教育”;共有产权住房等楼市长效机制正在探索建立中。国家统计局新闻发言人毛盛勇表示:在加快研究推出房地产市场平稳健康运行的制度设计下,很多地方都在按照中央提出来的“房子是用来住的,不是用来炒的”这个基本定位,结合当地实际,纷纷推出一些新的尝试举措,这实际上是加快推进房地产市场长效机制建设的一些有益尝试。随着制度建设的不断完善,房地产市场下一步平稳健康运行的态势会得到加强。

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