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调查:群众和企业对上半年经济运行状况满意度较高

2017-08-16 16:57:17   中国青年网

调查显示:群众和企业对上半年经济运行状况的满意度较高

国家行政学院发展战略与公共政策研究中心

近期,2017年上半年各项经济数据出炉,GDP增速、规模以上工业增加值、货物贸易进出口总值、城镇新增就业等指标均超出了预期,经济稳中有进、稳中向好的态势更为明显。向好的数据背后,群众和企业对经济的感受度究竟如何?宏观经济数据是否与群众和企业对经济状况的感受一致呢?

针对上述问题,国家行政学院发展战略与公共政策研究中心委托国家统计局中国经济景气监测中心、大数据研究实验室等单位,就群众和企业对今年上半年经济状况和经济预期的评价和感受进行了调查。其中,群众调查采用电话调查方式,覆盖东、中、西、东北15个省份,有效样本量为7000个。企业调查利用国家统计局编制企业景气度指数时企业联网直报的部分数据,有效样本量为40万个。同时,调查还参考了国家统计局百名经济学家信心调查的统计结果,并运用大数据技术开展了相关研究。

调查结果显示:群众和企业对经济状况的感受与宏观经济数据基本一致,超过七成群众对当前经济形势和经济预期表示乐观;企业家对企业综合经营状况的满意度持续回升。这说明随着经济企稳向好发展,群众和企业对经济状况的满意度较高,社会预期和社会信心总体稳定,且稳步提升。

一、群众对经济现状和经济预期的看法

74.9%的受访群众对当前经济表示乐观。 电话调查结果显示,今年二季度,认为当前我国经济形势“非常好”和“比较好”的群众合计为74.9%,比上季度增加1.5个百分点,连续三个季度有所提升,比认为“不太好”和“很不好”的高49.8个百分点(图1)。大数据显示,79.2%的群众对当前经济状况持积极正面态度。

图1 群众对经济状况的看法

数据来源:电话调查

76.7%的受访群众对我国经济形势预期乐观。 二季度调查结果显示,预期未来6个月我国经济形势“非常好”和“比较好”的合计为76.7%,比上季度增加1.8个百分点,连续两个季度提升(图2)。

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