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新华社华盛顿7月13日电(记者江宇娟高攀)美国国会预算局13日发布报告说,特朗普政府提交的2018财年(2017年10月至2018年9月)联邦政府预算报告可在未来10年降低财政赤字,但无法实现白宫预期的预算平衡。
跨党派的国会预算局在报告中预计,到2027年,美国联邦财政赤字为7200亿美元,低于该机构6月预测的1.46万亿美元。而白宫在预算报告中预计,到2027年,联邦政府将实现160亿美元财政盈余。
由于特朗普政府大幅削减支出,国会预算局预计,财政赤字占国内生产总值(GDP)的比重将从2017年的3.6%降至2027年的2.6%,公共债务占GDP的比重将从2017年的76.7%升至2027年的79.8%。白宫则预计,到2027年,公共债务占GDP的比重将降至59.8%。
国会预算局说,由于对经济增长预期较高,白宫对财政赤字和公共债务的预测较为乐观。
白宫预计,在减税、放松监管等措施推动下,美国经济增速将从2016年的1.6%升至2021年的3%,此后美国经济将继续保持3%的增速直到2027年。而国会预算局6月的预测显示,美国经济今年将增长2.2%,明年增速降至2%,2021年至2027年间美国经济平均年增速为1.9%。
目前,国会正在就2018财年预算进行讨论。白宫以及国会共和党领导人希望议员尽快就2018财年预算案达成一致,以推动税改方案在国会通过。
(原标题:美国会预算局认为白宫预算过于乐观)
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