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经济改革五年考:新技术填补传统产业空缺 开启发展新窗口

2017-07-13 13:13:18   央广网

央广网7月13日消息(记者 王梦妍)去年李世石和AlphaGo的大战硝烟还未完全散去,今年柯洁再度挑战人工智能。历经一年时间,人们对AI的认识已经越来越深刻。

近年来,我国人工智能产业发展迅速,并有巨大潜力和空间。有报告预计2018年我国人工智能产业将达到200亿产值,并带动相关产业1000亿。从美国、欧盟、英国、日本、韩国等国出台的国家推进人工智能战略来看,为了抢占人工智能产业发展的制高点,各国纷纷进行国家层面的布局和顶层设计,我国亦不例外。

2015年,《关于积极推进“互联网+”行动的指导意见》中明确提出人工智能作为十一个重点布局领域之一,促进人工智能在智能家居、智能终端和机器人等领域的推广应用。2016年,《“十三五”国家科技创新规划》、《“十三五”国家战略性新兴产业发展规划》等多部文件中,都将人工智能的发展作为国家未来发展的重点。

人工智能到2035年有望拉动中国经济年增长率1.6%

如今,推进人工智能与传统装备制造业的深度融合,加强战略性新兴产业协同和创新生态聚集,中国市场正加快步伐赶上这波全球性的人工智能领域大发展潮流。去年,我国人工智能市场规模已达203.9亿元;到2018年,其规模将超过360亿元。从产业政策上看,上海作为国家机器人检测与评定中心总部,提出到2020年平均每年新增机器人3000台以上。

埃森哲在《人工智能:助力中国经济增长》报告中提出,通过转变工作方式和开拓新的价值和增长源,人工智能有潜力将2035年的中国经济总增加值提升7.111万亿美元,年增长率从6.3%提速至7.9%。

报告进一步分析了人工智能对中国15个行业可能带来的经济影响,制造业、农林渔业、批发和零售业将成为从人工智能应用中获益最多的三个行业。到2035年,人工智能将推动这三大行业的年增长率分别提升2%、1.8%和1.7%。

创新技术开启经济发展新窗口

如果说,1956年的人工智能1.0是从学术界开始,那么这一次的人工智能2.0则将从产业界开始。虽然“人工智能2.0”目前尚处于概念提出、探讨期,但就国家创新发展战略来看,“人工智能2.0”概念下的智能化家电、智能穿戴设备、无人驾驶汽车、机器人和其他人工智能领域正成为企业的投资热点,并由此促进该领域在未来的迅速发展。

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