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英国商会预测今年英国经济增长1.5%

2017-06-27 11:48:06   新华网

新华社伦敦6月26日电(记者温希强)英国商会26日将英国2017年经济增长预期由1.4%提升至1.5%,但2018年和2019年的增长预期分别维持在1.3%和1.5%。

英国商会表示,尽管今年第一季度英国经济增速有所放缓,但全球经济增长前景看好,英国主要出口市场向好及较弱的英镑仍可能对出口增长起到短期的推动作用。

英国商会预测,2017年英国全年通胀率为2.9%,第四季度将达到峰值3.4%左右。此外,2018年和2019年通胀率预计将分别降至2.8%和2.5%。

英国商会还预测,英国基准利率将在2018年第一季度升至0.5%。

英国商会负责人亚当·马歇尔说,近几个月来,很多企业对经营前景表示谨慎乐观,但对英国整体经济增长前景保持警惕。大选结果增加了人们对不确定性的担忧,未来通胀压力预计将加剧,消费者支出将放缓,这一前景可能在短期内持续。

英国商会经济研究负责人苏伦·蒂鲁警告说,加息应当谨慎缓行。过早的货币紧缩政策将降低消费者和企业的信心,导致英国经济增速进一步下降。

(原标题:英国商会预测今年英国经济增长1.5%)

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