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英工党领导人科尔宾参与电视辩论 两大党支持率差距缩小

2017-06-01 10:10:34   国际在线

国际在线报道(中国国际广播电台记者 段雪莲):当地时间5月31日晚,英国七个主要党派领导人共同出席了英国广播公司举行的电视辩论,主要反对党工党领导人科尔宾就竞选纲领接受了观众提问。

继2015年大选期间举行的七党电视辩论之后,本次大选也迎来了各主要党派领导人在电视直播中唇枪舌战的场面。

然而,与上次的七党电视辩论不同,保守党领导人,英首相特蕾莎·梅并没有出现,而是由内政大臣安伯·拉德代表保守党出席。此前,特蕾莎·梅和主要反对党工党领导人科尔宾都对外坚称不参与电视辩论。但科尔宾在31日的竞选活动上突然改变主意,宣布将参加当晚的大选电视辩论,令外界感到十分意外,也让对手保守党有些措手不及。

相比大选前两周的数据,最新调查结果显示,保守党的支持率优势显著下降,从此前领先工党20个百分点滑落至9个百分点。有专家分析,首相特蕾莎·梅在宣布竞选纲领期间,被迫撤回一项关键的社会福利改革方案,使得保守党支持率出现下滑。而工党方面,领导人科尔宾并没有出现明显失误,对工党支持率的反弹起到一定作用。英国民调委员会主席、选举专家约翰·柯蒂斯认为,科尔宾在竞选活动中的表现稳健,超乎民众预期,在一定程度上促使部分工党支持者“回心转意”。

约翰·柯蒂斯说:“需要理解的关键问题是,选民对杰里米·科尔宾的预期相当低。有选民甚至认为这位工党领导人简直无可救药了,很多工党支持者表示,我原来是支持工党的,但我实在无法将票投给科尔宾。但是,在本次大选期间,科尔宾至今还没有出现过什么失误,当然,他的许多主张受到攻击,但他明白自己的弱点和优势,他也懂得如何去避免踏入‘雷区’。”

英国著名智库、皇家国际事务研究所马修·古德温教授则表示,工党支持率的回升,另一主要原因是年轻选民对该党派的好感度逐渐增加。马修·古德温说:“我认为我们之所以看到工党支持率在稳步上升,是因为年轻选民,通常不参与选举的选民以及此前还未确定立场的选民正在倾向工党。至于这是否受科尔宾的影响,我的直觉是,选民态度的转变更多是因为他们不确定保守党取得压倒性优势后对国家是利是弊。所以,这也可以说是一种策略性的转变。”

民调数据显示,18岁至24岁的年轻选民中,工党支持者占64%,而保守党支持者只有20%。专家强调,如何确保这些年轻支持者在投票日投下他们关键的一票,对工党接下来的竞选活动来说,至关重要。

一个多月前,英首相特蕾莎·梅宣布将在6月8日提前举行英国议会选举,以使新政府更好地代表英国与欧盟进行脱欧谈判。

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