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今年前4个月中国进出口总值同比增长20.3% 增速有所放缓
国际在线报道(记者 赵阳):8日,中国海关总署公布了今年前4个月外贸数据。其中,货物贸易进出口总值为8.42万亿元人民币,同比增长20.3%。专家表示,与前一月相比,中国外贸增速有所放缓,但全年的外贸表现应好于去年。
从海关总署公布的4月份的数据来看,中国进出口数值均呈现两位数增长,分别为18.6%和14.3%,延续了今年以来的回稳增涨态势。海关总署综合统计司司长黄颂平说:“前四个月,我国进出口延续了去年下半年以来回稳向好的走势,各月进出口值同比都实现了两位数的增长。”
具体来看,今年前4个月,中国外贸进出口主要呈现出以下特点:一是一般贸易进出口增长,比重提升,占到总量的近六成;二是对欧美日东盟等市场进出口增长。前4个月,欧盟为中国第一大贸易伙伴,美国居第二位。三是中国民营企业进出口占比提升,占到外贸总值的近四成。其中,民营企业继续保持出口份额居首的地位,占出口总值近一半份额;四是机电产品、传统劳动密集型产品仍为出口主力。五是铁矿砂、原油和天然气等大宗商品进口量价齐升等主要特点。
但仅就外贸增速来看,与今年前2个月20.6%的增速相比,还是有所放缓。中国海关总署综合统计司司长黄颂平此前曾表示,今年中国外贸能否持续复苏转好还要考虑诸多因素,二季度维持快速增长难度加大。
对于增速放缓,中国金融期货交易所研究院首席经济学家赵庆明表示,出口方面的增速与市场预期相差并不大,主要是在进口方面的增速放缓幅度较大。赵庆明说: “我们看到今年一季度很多大宗商品的进口量是非常大的,库存量很大。到了4月份,随着大宗商品的价格平稳,甚至部分商品的价格回落,这一块有所收缩,这是进口比预期大幅回落十个多点的主要原因。”
赵庆明认为,虽然4月份中国外贸增速有所放缓,但全年的外贸表现将好于去年:“整体考虑,价格因素今年和去年都是往上走的,全球的需求量也是往上走的,所以今年的进出口情况一定会好于去年。”
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