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经济日报:欧美央行掌门齐声反对放松监管
2017-08-28 08:05:51 中国经济网
上周,市场最为关注的无疑是周末在美国怀俄明州杰克逊谷地举行的经济政策研讨会(杰克逊霍尔年会)。会前,各方纷纷揣测欧美央行掌门会对货币政策作出怎样的表态。令人意外的是,无论是欧洲央行行长德拉吉还是美联储主席耶伦,都重点强调绝不能放松金融监管。
在当地时间8月25日召开的杰克逊霍尔年会上,耶伦在演讲中对加息和“缩表”几乎只字未提,反而强调美国在国际金融危机后出台的监管措施令金融系统韧性增强,认为“更严格的监管并未阻碍经济增长”。耶伦的这番表述,与美国总统特朗普认为“过于严厉的金融监管阻碍了美国经济增长”的观点截然相反。很多舆论据此认为,这暗示耶伦在明年2月份任期结束后不会谋求连任。
分析指出,耶伦强调金融监管,更多的还是着眼于对危机的预判和应对。这从美联储今年的表述和行动中也能看出端倪。比如,今年6月份美联储发布消息称,美国34家最大银行全部通过了第一阶段的年度压力测试,能够应对“企业贷款市场压力增加,商业地产价格下跌35%,银行预计在九个季度内将损失4930亿美元”的最严重局面。更进一步看,美国经济复苏后劲乏力迹象已经显现,股市的风险也在不断集聚,同时9月份开始“缩表”的概率又很高,耶伦将金融监管提到这样的高度,出发点仍然是未雨绸缪。
无独有偶,德拉吉在演讲中也强调在货币宽松条件下加强金融监管的重要性。德拉吉认为,“全球货币政策显著扩张,监管方应该警惕曾引爆危机的火苗重燃。”分析认为,德拉吉目前在欧洲货币政策的态度上与市场预期步调并不一致,他更倾向于利用相当程度的宽松政策来维持目前欧元区来之不易的经济增长态势。在这种条件下,对监管的强调也是题中应有之义,这也应该视作德拉吉的底线之一。(原文来源:经济日报 作者:连俊)
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