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2017年上半年中国债券市场信用风险回顾与展望论坛召开
2017-08-21 10:06:51 中国经济网
经济日报—中国经济网8月21日讯 2017年8月18日,由联合信用评级有限公司(以下简称“联合评级”)与联合资信评估有限公司(以下简称“联合资信”)共同举办的“2017年上半年中国债券市场信用风险回顾与展望论坛”在金融街威斯汀大酒店顺利召开。来自香港交易所、证券公司、基金公司、保险资管公司的300余位领导和专家出席了论坛,联合评级总裁万华伟主持了论坛。
联合评级总裁万华伟发表了开幕致辞。首先,万华伟简要介绍了论坛的两家主办方——联合评级和联合资信的业务范围、发展历程和市场地位。万华伟指出,2017年上半年,在经济政策的推动下,我国债券市场不断推出创新债券品种,并加快了国际化进程;但与此同时,我国债券市场不断出现违约事件。本次论坛特邀请业内专家共同回顾2017年上半年债券市场的信用风险、分析债券市场的变化、关注行业动态,力求做到信用风险早关注、早辨识、早应对,为投资者提供更加专业的信用风险预判。万华伟总裁对出席论坛的领导、专家和朋友表示热烈的欢迎和衷心的感谢,并期待各位领导、专家和联合评级、联合资信一起共同推动债券市场的健康发展。
联合评级副总裁艾仁智博士发表了“2017年债券市场半年度信用风险回顾与展望”的主题演讲。艾仁智博士回顾了上半年债券市场,包括监管政策、发行、评级调整和信用风险事件等方面。总体来看,上半年金融监管环境趋严,两大债券市场信用债发行规模均下滑明显,融资成本整体上行。但基于基本面的有所改善,公募债券市场信用等级趋于调升,但评级稳定性略有下降。2017年以来受益于供给侧改革,产能过剩行业的发行人现金流改善,盈利能力增强,上半年债市信用风险暴露趋缓,违约事件明显减少。在对下半年信用风险展望时,艾博士表示下半年到期偿付量比上半年有所下降,但信用等级不高,且进入回售期的债券较多,低评级企业的再融资压力将更高。具体来看,产能过剩行业、处于下行周期的行业以及经济结构单一、重工业化地区的非龙头企业须保持谨慎。经营风险较大的企业或自身业务造血能力较差,同时融资受限的企业也须格外关注。另外,需加强对担保风险以及外部机构做空风险的重视。艾博士最后还特别分享了联合在评级过程中重点考察的几个关注点,包括庞氏融资类企业的债务质量及其再融资能力,流动性风险及其压力测试,回售债券的信用风险以及违约债券的回收率等方面的看法。
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