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蛋价连跌7个月一度破2元大关 为何成“倒霉蛋”(图)

2017-05-04 08:48:53   北京晨报

深度每天为你讲述一个财经故事

曾经风光无限的“火箭蛋”今年却遭遇了“倒春寒”,一键启动“跌跌不休”的模式,几乎成了“倒霉蛋”。受供求关系及去年冬季以来H7N9流感病毒等因素的影响,今年鸡蛋的批发价格一路下跌,2月份更是跌至近十年来的低点。不仅鸡蛋价格在下跌,鸡肉的价格也在劫难逃。农业部预计,鸡蛋和鸡肉价格的回调要持续到年中。

鸡蛋价格连跌七个月一度跌破近十年低点

2014年至2016年期间,鸡蛋曾因价格疯涨,而被冠以“火箭蛋”之名,今年却遭遇了滑铁卢。自2016年10月以来,全国鸡蛋价格已连续下跌七个月之久,累计跌幅一度达到32%,今年4月下旬曾一度跌破2元大关,创出十年来的最低点。

农业部4月24日发布的数据显示,今年以来禽蛋价格总体继续下跌,3月份均价已跌至近8年低点;4月份以来,鸡蛋价格下跌势头仍未缓解,4月中旬全国大宗鸡蛋价格为2.4元/斤,主产区均价甚至低至2.2元/斤,同比跌幅超过30%。市场上的鸡蛋价格也不例外,零售价每斤不到3元,按照每8个鸡蛋一斤计算,每个鸡蛋只卖3毛钱左右。

五一假期消费本来能提振鸡蛋价格走强,但鸡蛋价格的反弹效果并不明显。数据显示,5月2日,全国主产区鸡蛋价格稳中上涨,均价达到2.10元/斤,单价较4月28日上涨0.09元。其中,山东地区的均价最高为2.32元/斤,辽宁地区均价最低为1.93元/斤。

供应高峰遇消费低谷鸡蛋鸡肉的消费减少

鸡蛋和鸡肉价格下跌,主要源于供应高峰和消费低谷碰头了。在日前召开的农业部一季度数据发布会上,农业部市场与经济信息司司长唐珂指出,鸡蛋价格持续大幅下跌,主要原因有三个。一是阶段性供大于需。在前两年蛋鸡养殖效益利好的刺激下,许多养殖场扩大规模,蛋鸡存栏量不断攀升,产蛋率稳步提高,鸡蛋市场出现阶段性供大于需的局面。二是鸡蛋消费低迷。春节过后,鸡蛋消费进入季节性淡季,再加上H7N9流感的影响,鸡蛋的需求整体低迷。三是饲料成本下降。2016年玉米价格大幅下跌,饲料成本随之降低,给蛋价回落提供了空间。

价格大幅下跌的不仅是鸡蛋,还有鸡肉。农业部监测数据显示,今年2月,平均每只蛋鸡亏损2.21元,是2012年4月以来最大亏损额,与上年同期盈利1.36元形成巨大反差。

蛋鸡养殖户大量亏损价格下行态势仍未止

价格下跌,导致蛋鸡和肉鸡养殖效益双双下降。有券商调研团队在深入湖北主要产销区走访调研时发现,由于今年鸡蛋价格偏低,一些蛋鸡养殖企业一季度亏损严重。“建议养殖户谨慎补栏,顺势出货,切忌捂货赌涨。”

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