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安倍放话解散国会 施计续命豪赌修宪

2017-09-25 21:26:53   新华网

新华社北京9月25日电(全球热点)安倍放话解散国会 施计续命豪赌修宪

新华社记者

日本首相安倍晋三25日正式宣布,将在28日举行的临时国会上解散众议院,提前大选。当天早些时候,东京都知事小池百合子宣布成立自己的政党,意在抗衡安倍。

眼看森友、加计学园丑闻不断发酵,安倍想在支持率尚可的情况下通过此举延续政权,从长远来看是为修宪的政治目标铺路。

【新闻事实】

25日傍晚,安倍召开记者会,称有必要就消费税增收税金的用途变更及应对朝鲜半岛局势等政治议题问信于民,宣布将在28日临时国会开幕时解散众议院。

安倍这种打破按惯的做法广受争议。原本,首相应在临时国会上面对参众两院发表施政演说,次日起各党代表在两院针对施政演说进行质询,而此次安倍跳过施政演说和国会审议环节,直接宣布解散众议院。

日本民进党、共产党等在野党强烈反对安倍解散众议院的做法,抨击安倍政府“解散是为逃避国会讨论(安倍的问题)”。

共同社最新民调显示,64.3%的民众反对安倍在现阶段解散众议院,仅有23.7%的人表示赞成。

据报道,日本众议院选举将于10月10日发布公告,10月22日举行投票。

【深度分析】

安倍受到森友学园及加计学园等丑闻影响,支持率走低,在不受国民信任的情况下,难以推动重大政策,所以他有意在支持率尚可且在野党无力反击之时,通过解散众议院、提前选举挽救政权,以便继续推动其政治议程,特别是完成一直以来的修宪野心。

应该看到,解散众议院只是安倍政权续命以及巩固党内外权力的工具,为修宪做准备才是最终目的。

修宪需要众参两院三分之二以上议员支持。如果自民党及其执政伙伴公明党不能在大选中获得众议院三分之二以上议席,安倍将不得不寻求其他党派支持,但这会面临很多困难。

如果安倍拼凑的修宪势力没能超过三分之二议席,他在自民党内的凝聚力将下滑,党内一些实力派人物可能取而代之,安倍在明年秋天自民党总裁选举中谋求连任的计划或将受到威胁。

【第一评论】

这是安倍上台近5年来第二次提前解散众议院。这不仅给外界留下滥用解散权的印象,也是安倍执政后不断掏空日本现行宪政体制的又一体现。

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