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日将引新方法析中美经济 日媒:短时间判断情况

2017-09-06 12:15:42   中国网

原标题:日本将引入新方法分析中美经济 日媒:用更短时间掌握情况

日媒称,日本内阁府将引进被称为“现时预测(Now Casting)”的预测当前经济状况的方法。通常,为了掌握经济情况,等待国内生产总值(GDP)数据的发布需要1个半月时间,但利用现时预测,则能在短时间内判断经济情况。日本着眼于美国和中国,最早将于2019年度在海外经济分析领域引进这一方法。

据《日本经济新闻》网站9月6日报道,在日本国内统计方面,还将研究旨在将共享经济等新领域反映到GDP中的分析模型等。

“现时预测”意为“不远的将来的预测”,根据具有速报性质的数据,及时预测尚未公布的指标走势。据称纽约联邦储备银行等海外的中央银行正在推进使用现时预测。

日本内阁府将在2018年度预算中申请用于“现时预测”分析的预算,委托民间企业开发有关美国和中国等的经济分析模型

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