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英国大选前频发恐袭影响几何

2017-06-04 18:01:06   

原标题:热点问答:英国大选前频发恐袭影响几何

新华社伦敦6月4日电 新华社记者桂涛 梁希之 张代蕾英国首都伦敦3日晚发生两起恐怖袭击,其中包括一辆货车在伦敦桥上冲撞行人,已造成至少1人死亡、20人受伤。今年以来,英国恐袭频发,此次恐袭距英国大选举行仅有5天,引发外界普遍关注。

英国为何频发袭击

3月22日,一名男子驾驶汽车在位于伦敦市中心的议会大厦附近冲撞人群,造成5人死亡、约40人受伤;5月22日,曼彻斯特体育馆发生自杀式爆炸,造成22人死亡、59人受伤。极端组织“伊斯兰国”宣称其制造了这两起袭击事件。

伯明翰城市大学应用犯罪学研究中心副主任伊姆兰·阿万对新华社记者说,英国长久以来就是恐怖组织定为袭击目标的欧洲国家之一,直接打击英国或美国这样“更有价值的头号攻击目标”对恐怖分子来说是“值得庆祝的事”。

白金汉大学安全与情报研究中心主任安东尼·格勒斯对记者说,英国恐袭频发,背后不是单一原因。英国现在处于易受攻击状态,“脱欧”公投、政府变更、提前大选,这些都让英国看起来处于弱势地位。

格勒斯说,英美之间关系是导致英国恐袭频发的另一个原因。英国对自己作为美国在欧洲的亲密盟友十分自豪,美国总统特朗普上任后,英国首相特雷莎·梅是第一个拜访他的外国领导人。此外,英国在伊拉克的军事行动以及它随时准备轰炸“伊斯兰国”的姿态,也是英国成为攻击目标的原因。

对大选有何影响

英国定于6月8日举行大选。此间舆论认为,选前连续发生袭击事件将影响英国选民在“脱欧”、移民、反恐政策等问题上的立场,从而影响选情。最新民调显示,虽然保守党支持率依然领先反对党工党4个百分点,但差距在继续缩小。

有专家认为,袭击频发或有利于保守党选情。一方面,保守党在选战中提出“硬脱欧”,在移民政策上承诺削减移民指标,在追随美国、参与反恐战争上立场也十分坚定;另一方面,保守党党魁特雷莎·梅强硬的“铁娘子”形象与执政风格也有利于英国在“多事之秋”保持稳定。

但也有声音认为,工党主张反思英国反恐政策,一些英国人早就反感英国追随美国在伊拉克、利比亚等地区进行所谓的反恐战争,一连串发生在英国本土的恐怖袭击事件将让工党在选战中获益。

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