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双台风结对来袭 10省份将迎狂风暴雨

2017-09-13 07:21:30   新华网

新华网北京9月13日电(记者 姚润萍)记者从国家防总获悉,第18号台风“泰利”和第19号台风可能于14日夜间到15日接踵登陆或影响我国华东、华南沿海,并带来大范围的强风暴雨。国家防总已启动防汛防台风Ⅲ级应急响应。

今年第18号台风“泰利”9月9日20时在菲律宾以东西北太平洋洋面上生成,以每小时20~25公里的速度向西偏北方向移动,最强可达强台风或超强台风级,将于14日夜间到15日早晨在浙江中北部一带沿海登陆(台风或强台风级,风力13~15级),也可能于15日在浙江近海北上,然后转向东北方向移动。此外,菲律宾以东热带低压已于12日14时发展为今年第19号台风,预计将于15日在海南至广东西部一带沿海登陆(台风或强台风级,风力13~14级)。

9月12日,国家防总副总指挥、水利部部长陈雷主持召开国家防总异地视频会议,分析研判第18号台风“泰利”和第19号台风发展态势及可能带来的不利影响,安排部署防汛防台风工作,于12日22时启动防汛防台风Ⅲ级应急响应,派出11个工作组分赴浙江、福建、上海、江苏、安徽、江西、广东、广西、海南等省、自治区、直辖市协助开展防汛防台风工作。国家防总秘书长、水利部副部长叶建春,国家防总副秘书长、中国气象局副局长矫梅燕等出席会议。

分析预测表明,第18号台风“泰利”和第19号台风具有6个特点:

一是台风结对来袭,交织影响。预计“泰利”可能于14日夜间到15日早晨在浙江北部沿海登陆,也很可能于15日在浙江近海转向后向东北方向移动。无论“泰利”是否登陆,都将对华东沿海产生严重影响。第19号台风可能于15日在海南至广东西部一带沿海登陆。一天之内两个台风接踵登陆或影响我国华东、华南沿海,强风暴雨覆盖范围大,海浪高潮影响区域广。

二是能量不断聚集,风力强劲。预计“泰利”鼎盛期风力可达14到16级,登陆或贴近浙江沿海时中心最大风力仍可达13至15级,可能会成为今年影响我国华东沿海的最强台风。第19号台风可能在鼎盛期登陆,登陆时风力可达13至14级。华东、华南沿海地区将会面临同时防御两个强台风的不利局面。

三是风暴增水较高,海况恶劣。受“泰利”影响,长江口至福建沿海均将出现较大风暴增水,浙江沿海最大风暴增水可达300厘米;台湾以东洋面、东海南部将先后出现最大13米的狂涛区,浙江、福建北部沿岸海域将出现最大7米狂浪区。受第19号台风影响,雷州半岛东岸、海南东部和南部沿海将出现最大160厘米的增水;南海东部、中北部、西北部及北部湾将出现最大10米的狂涛区;广东西部及海南东部沿岸海域将出现最大6米的狂浪区。受两个强台风影响的海域浪高涌大,台风浪波陡较大,畸形波易生成,海况非常恶劣。

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