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中央气象台预报员正在汇总会商预报结论,制作决策气象服务材料。崔国辉 摄
8月9日16时,中央气象台联合成都中心气象台、乌鲁木齐中心气象台就四川九寨沟和新疆精河8月中旬常年降雨、气温特征及未来三天天气趋势进行会商。
中央气象台预计,九寨沟县震区9日夜间多云间阴;10日白天多云,午后局地有短时间阵雨(0至3毫米),夜间阴转小雨(1毫米至5毫米),气温在16℃至30℃;11日白天有小雨到中雨(8毫米至15毫米),并伴有雷电,夜间小雨转阴(1毫米至5毫米),气温在17℃至28℃。
精河县震区9日夜间晴间多云;10日晴间多云,气温在24℃至34℃;11日白天多云转阴,夜间阴有小阵雨,气温在23℃至35℃。
中央气象台首席预报员马学款提醒,震后地质灾害发生的雨量阈值下降,地质灾害隐患增加,而九寨沟地区地形复杂,可能出现分散性强对流天气,小时雨量达5毫米以上的降雨就会增加中小河流洪水及山洪、泥石流灾害风险,给交通运输及救灾工作带来不便,需加以防范。同时,精河县9日至10日天气晴好,利于救灾工作开展,但白天气温较高,需注意防暑;11日午后到12日,山区有中到大雨,对救灾工作有一定影响,需注意预防局地强降雨诱发的泥石流、山体滑坡等次生灾害。(中国气象报记者崔国辉报道)
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