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韩联社援引《纽约时报》4月24日报道称,美国政府和专家相信美国轰炸叙利亚的信号能够抑制朝鲜等国,但这种信号并未产生实际效果。
美国学者分析称,如果想让信号有效力,需要使其内容明确,并展示出采取后续行动的力量和意图,以此作为支撑。美国对叙利亚和阿富汗的袭击究竟想对朝鲜或者俄罗斯表达什么,这点并不明确。究竟是威胁将对朝鲜和俄罗斯使用武力,还是只是特朗普随心所欲使用武力,如果是武力威胁,究竟是在什么情况下使用,这些问题就连美国人的解释都不一致,朝鲜和俄罗斯的领导者就更难把握该信号的明确意思。
据美国哥伦比亚大学政治学者罗伯特·乔布斯的研究显示,如果想让朝鲜相信美国发出的信号,并改变其行动,需要更具体的后续或相关信号。朝鲜半岛附近的驻日本和关岛美军的部署情况加上韩美关系现状,以及其他数十种美国的日常行动,都表明美国的政策至今为止都未曾生变,一直希望避免和朝鲜发生战争。(实习编译:虞许静审稿:魏悦)
责任编辑:孙鑫鑫 CN066
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