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日媒:IS已将战术重心转向区域外 反恐形势严峻

2015-11-18 09:55:52   中国新闻网

中新网11月18日电日媒日前撰文称,巴黎近日发生的系列恐怖袭击事件显示出,此前以在中东支配地区内展开军事行动和诱拐杀人作为行动支柱的极端组织“伊斯兰国”(IS)正在将战术重心转向在区域外的大规模攻击。

日媒指出,IS有可能在有组织的获得人员(实行犯)、物资(武器)和资金方面取得了成功,也有可能在欧洲等地建立了强有力的网络。

通过原油每月获取4000万美金

文章称,“浪潮行动2”,这是在叙利亚和伊拉克打击IS的美国于10月下旬启动的军事行动的名称。其起源是在第2次世界大战中,美军攻击被纳粹德国占领的罗马尼亚油田的“浪潮行动”(OperationTidalWave)”。此举意在集中攻击IS支配下的油田和冶炼设施。

IS被称为“历史上最为富有的极端组织”。由于控制了伊拉克和叙利亚的油田地带,IS通过高额薪酬从国内外招收技术人员,正在设计自主的冶炼设施。据称产量在每日4万桶左右,每月收入合计达到4000万美元。

其“客户”不仅限于普通市民以及生活在与土耳其边境附近的大量库尓德人。还在通过中间商拓展销售渠道,甚至是与IS敌对的叙利亚政府机构和反对派也在购买IS的原油。

如果切断资金渠道就能取得明显效果,这一点已被国际恐怖组织基地组织所证明。2001年9月美国“九一一”恐怖事件之后,由于对中东资金的监视加强,导致了基地组织的弱化。但是,IS的原油已经明显争取到面临严重燃料短缺的普通市民。

此外,资金流向的监视也明显更加困难。与叙利亚接壤的土耳其政府的边境管理松懈,IS易于搬运现金。边境周边存在违法的汇款业者,能代理客户办理汇款。埃及《金字塔报》(AlAhram)政治和战略研究中心研究员阿拉比阿•沙欣(音译)指出,“购买宝石、黄金产品和手机充值卡等,然后换取现金的方法也得到使用”。

“不派战斗人员也能争取到协助者”

法国总统奥朗德在提及巴黎系列恐怖袭击时指出:“这是计划周密的战斗行为”。自杀式爆炸者身穿装满爆炸物的马甲,制造方面需要获得高度的知识和原材料。

发源于埃及的伊斯兰原教旨主义组织“穆斯林兄弟会”前最高干部艾哈迈德·班(音译)指出,“IS即使不派遣战斗人员,也能轻松在欧洲争取到对欧洲生活感到不满的年轻人等恐怖袭击的协助者”。

有消息称,IS在叙利亚和伊拉克的战斗中处于劣势。借助美军主导的空袭援助,伊拉克的库尓德部队夺取了北部重镇辛加尔(Sinjar)。给IS的补给线造成了沉重打击。

IS还在其机关报上,将参加美军行动的国家称为“十字军”,呼吁在这些国家发动攻击。如果地面战斗的劣势导致IS转向重视区域外恐怖袭击的战术,其威胁将非常严峻。

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