404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/military/569/20170320/30342340_2.html |
Server: |
cms-8-251 |
Date: |
2024/05/04 21:23:23 |
Powered by China
China
再次,现在发动战争,绝不会是
美国的选项。美国因为发动多起战争,让国力削弱,这一点,新任总统特朗普一直颇有微辞。美国之所以要战略收缩,甚至想从中东泥潭中拔足,回归保守主义,就是这个意思。以美国的实力,对朝鲜进行军事打击,当然没有问题。但朝鲜半岛是个火药桶,一旦引爆,产生的次生灾难却是巨大的,甚至有可能引发第三次世界大战。美国没有这个准备,也根本不具备这个条件。更何况,就算美国心想事成,但灭了北部政权真的符合美国的战略利益吗?就像台湾一样,是美国的一张政治牌,半岛之所以是今天这种局面,其实就是美国一手促成的。一旦半岛统一,韩国未必还需要美国驻军,美国驻军也失去了理由,美国到底能够得到多少?这简直就是一笔赔本的买卖。以特朗普的精明,这个生意,他是无论如何不会做的。再退一步,如果半岛统一了,美韩部署“萨德”的理由何在?那不就是打自己的脸吗,美国精心设计的一个局,就付诸东流了。再执意部署“萨德”,岂不就是挑明了以中俄为敌吗?那就让美国的外交没有了回旋的余地。
因此,这不过是美国的战略恫吓而已。这一点,各国都清楚。不排除美国加大对朝鲜的施压,但就像中国以压促谈一样,美国的舆论战,也是以压促谈,为下一步的会谈增加一点筹码而已。
有消息称,对朝鲜的隔空喊话,美国已经断然拒绝,不愿意重回六方会谈。这不代表美国关上了会谈的大门,其实,蒂勒森的真实意图正如其所言:朝鲜必须放弃核武,并将试图与朝鲜展开对话。对话和谈判,是唯一可行的现实路径。当然,如果美朝直接对话,对美国来说再好不过了。既削弱了中俄的影响力,又可以获取更多的战略利益。但这一点,中俄看得很明白,美国也很难如愿。如果完全得罪中俄,朝鲜的日子只能是更难过。以美国的势利和战略图谋,朝鲜也很难对美国去除敌意。不过都是造势而已。
18日,蒂勒森来到中国,姿态谦和。在谈到半岛局势时,中国外交部长王毅态度坚定,立场明确。蒂勒森不再说战争选项,而是说“中美关系十分积极,不对抗不冲突且相互尊重”。这当然是为中美元首的下一步会晤温场和定调。但不对抗不冲突相互尊重,自然符合中美利益,也是国际大势,既如此,又怎么可能违背中国的战略利益,而选择武力这一选项呢?
所以,国际关系套路深,嘴炮绝对别当真。都是在试探、博弈和要价。朝鲜必须去核,半岛不能生乱,这是两个基本点。围绕这两个基本点,进行政治和利益博弈,各有底牌,这是一个深不可测的牌局。看清楚了这一点,就知道,中国提出重启六方会谈,肯定是,也必须是解决朝鲜半岛危机的可行方案了。
责任编辑:王雷 CM029
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/military/569/20170320/30342340_2.html |
Server: |
cms-8-251 |
Date: |
2024/05/04 21:23:23 |
Powered by China
China
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/military/569/20170320/30342340_2.html |
Server: |
cms-8-251 |
Date: |
2024/05/04 21:23:23 |
Powered by China
China
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/military/569/20170320/30342340_2.html |
Server: |
cms-8-251 |
Date: |
2024/05/04 21:23:23 |
Powered by China
China
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/military/569/20170320/30342340_2.html |
Server: |
cms-8-251 |
Date: |
2024/05/04 21:23:23 |
Powered by China
China
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/military/569/20170320/30342340_2.html |
Server: |
cms-8-251 |
Date: |
2024/05/04 21:23:23 |
Powered by China
China
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/military/569/20170320/30342340_2.html |
Server: |
cms-8-251 |
Date: |
2024/05/04 21:23:23 |
Powered by China
China
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/military/569/20170320/30342340_2.html |
Server: |
cms-8-251 |
Date: |
2024/05/04 21:23:23 |
Powered by China
China
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/military/569/20170320/30342340_2.html |
Server: |
cms-8-251 |
Date: |
2024/05/04 21:23:23 |
Powered by China
China
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/military/569/20170320/30342340_2.html |
Server: |
cms-8-251 |
Date: |
2024/05/04 21:23:23 |
Powered by China
China
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/military/569/20170320/30342340_2.html |
Server: |
cms-8-251 |
Date: |
2024/05/04 21:23:23 |
Powered by China
China
加载更多>>
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/military/569/20170320/30342340_2.html |
Server: |
cms-8-251 |
Date: |
2024/05/04 21:23:23 |
Powered by China
China
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/military/569/20170320/30342340_2.html |
Server: |
cms-8-251 |
Date: |
2024/05/04 21:23:23 |
Powered by China
China
404 Not Found
404 Not Found
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!
URL: |
http://3g.china.com:8080/act/military/569/20170320/30342340_2.html |
Server: |
cms-8-251 |
Date: |
2024/05/04 21:23:23 |
Powered by China
China