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专家:澳大利亚遭恐袭风险大 或成"第二个巴黎"

2016-03-08 09:52:14   环球网

【环球网综合报道】据澳大利亚“新快网”3月7日报道,美国反恐专家罗伯特 佩普教授在与澳大利亚官员会面时表示,针对极端组织“伊斯兰国”(IS)的轰炸打击行动可能会增加恐怖分子在澳大利亚本土进行恐怖袭击报复的风险。

据报道,佩普教授是芝加哥大学国际安全事务的政治学家,也是芝加哥安全与反恐项目的负责人。在与澳大利亚政府官员及研究员的一系列高层会议中,佩普教授表示IS可能会向空袭联盟中的国家进行报复式袭击。佩普教授称自空袭行动开始以来,IS的占领活动区域正在缩小。澳大利亚可能在IS的报复名单当中,不能掉以轻心。

“新快网”称,佩普教授表示,在未来4到6个月内,IS可能会向打击它的国家进行报复。尽管澳大利亚在军事打击行动中扮演的角色不重,但这也不能避免成为目标。

据悉,佩普教授及其团队研究了上世纪80年代以后的每一起自杀式恐怖袭击案件。2015年,IS在叙利亚及伊拉克制造的自杀式恐怖袭击数量首次下降, 但在其他国家,例如法国,埃及,土耳其等国的数量却上升了。这表明IS的袭击目的地发生了转变,越来越倾向于袭击对其进行军事打击的国家。

报道称,澳大利亚战略政策研究所反恐政策中心负责人贾辛塔 卡罗尔表示,佩普做出警告是基于IS等恐怖组织在中东的压力增大,因此这些组织可能会集中力量在中东以外区域进行恐怖主义活动。这也是为了展现他们的实力,以吸引更多的人加入组织,以及募集资金的需要。

卡罗尔还表示,包括澳大利亚在内的各国政府应制定长远的计划,对各国在军事打击恐怖主义时担当的任务进行分配,例如空军投入,军事培训,情报,监视和侦察支持等。

责任编辑:张海潮 CM013
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