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日本民众担忧政府强军动向 仅12%支持安倍修宪

2014-04-08 13:13:33   新华社-参考消息

参考消息网4月8日报道据日本《朝日新闻》4月7日报道,在安倍政府加快走向行使集体自卫权的形势下,本报进行了有关宪法问题的全国舆论调查。调查结果显示,主张坚持不行使集体自卫权的选民增至63%(去年为56%),大大超过了支持行使集体自卫权的人数比例(29%)。即使在支持自民党和安倍内阁的人群中,主张坚持不行使集体自卫权的也超过了半数。

安倍主张:可以通过政府变更宪法解释的方式来实现行使集体自卫权。而民调结果显示,在这个问题上完全支持安倍主张的只占12%。

在进行这次舆论调查的过程中,《朝日新闻》还通过中国和韩国当地的调查公司用当面询问的方式,了解了中韩民众对日本行使集体自卫权问题的观点。结果显示95%的中国人和85%的韩国人对此持否定态度。这表明,一旦安倍政府迈出行使集体自卫权的一步,那么不仅会遭中韩政府反对而且还必将遭到中韩两国国民的反对。

另一方面,在宪法问题上,认为不应改变宪法第9条的选民已从去年的52%增至64%,大大超过了持相反观点的人数(29%)。此外,反对扩大武器出口的人数从去年的71%增至77%;认为应坚持无核三原则的人数从77%增至82%;反对自卫队国防军化的人数从62%增至68%。尽管这些项目的民调方式和题目与去年三四月份进行的民调完全一样,但却出现了不同的结果。从中不难看出一年之内人们对安倍政府加强军力的动向越来越感到不安的现状。

对于上述民调结果,早稻田大学教授水岛朝穗认为,多数人反对修改宪法第9条、支持继续坚持无核三原则的现象表明,选民对增强军力和自卫队在海外行使武力还是排斥并相当警惕的。水岛教授认为,去年通过煽动中国威胁论,造成了修改宪法第9条和行使集体自卫权的舆论,这在一定程度上推高了对安倍政府的支持。但在日中关系持续紧张的形势下,安倍政府发出的信息仍然是一味地强调与中国对峙。与去年的民调相比,民众不支持安倍这种安保观念的人数之所以大幅度增加,是因为人们逐渐开始对可能造成的武力冲突感到不安。

水岛教授认为,这次民调结果还表明当代立宪主义的精神,即宪法是对国家权力的束缚这种意识正逐渐渗透到选民之中。因此人们对政府“只有行使集体自卫权才能更好地保护国民”的主张开始持怀疑态度。

日本《东京新闻》4月7日报道称,自去年9月以来,札幌市等至少59个市町村议会针对修改宪法解释以允许行使集体自卫权一事,表决通过了或是反对或是持慎重态度的意见书,并已经提交给政府和国会。意见书虽不具有法律约束力,但距离国民较近的地方议会的动向如果进一步扩大,可能给意欲解释性修宪的安倍晋三带来压力。

表决通过意见书的市町村议会范围涉及从北海道到福冈县的广大地区,其中长野县最多,有27个市町村的议会通过了意见书。意见书送达国会始于去年9月,是在安倍任命容忍行使集体自卫权一派的小松一郎担任内阁法制局长官之后。

去年9月27日表决通过的福冈县太宰府市议会的意见书指出,“以参议院选举中执政党的胜利为背景,试图通过修改宪法解释以允许行使集体自卫权的动向迅速增强。应该意识到,国民追求的是经济复苏,解释性修宪与民意之间存在一定偏差”。

青森市议会同日表决通过的意见书中强调,如果不修改宪法便同意行使集体自卫权,“将会使宪法第9条有名无实”。北海道本别町议会批评说,“允许行使集体自卫权是建设可以在海外作战的国家的第一步”。东京都小金井市议会也表示,“将否定以民主政治为前提的立宪主义”。爱知县扶桑町议会也指出,“即使日本未遭受攻击,也可以进行武力合作的集体自卫权的行使,将会把日本引向战争的道路”。

新潟市议会“强烈要求不要变更未经国民讨论的宪法解释”。

全国市町村的数量为1718个。

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