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蔡英文去年5月上台后抛出所谓“踏实外交”,结果如何呢?台湾不仅连续不能参加国际民航组织大会和国际刑警组织大会,而且失去了圣多美和普林西比这个“邦交国”,巴拿马等国也是频频亮“断交”红灯。有岛内资深政治记者分析认为,当局不承认“九二共识”,今年绝不会收到WHA的邀请函,去年邀请函是发给承认“九二共识”的马政府的,而非蔡英文。与此同时,台湾参与国际组织活动全遭封杀,包括国际民航组织、气候变化纲要公约以及国际刑警组织等。这些事件的脉络显示,大陆正全面“打压”台湾国际空间,让民众彻底认清两岸在国际舞台上的实力差距。该记者称,台湾可依循以往“旁听”“抗议”及“国际发声”的模式,或在国际媒体刊登广告、向“友邦”请求声援,但这些都无法改变台湾的国际困境,台湾人应思考,“政府虽以亲美日作为应对策略,但美日能为台湾做到什么地步?”
《中国时报》20日提到,蔡英文下月将任职一周年,在两岸官方交流中断的情况下,大陆具有官方色彩的智库与涉台单位近期密集访台,“充分显示北京对台新思维正在成形”。大陆学者虽然关心“5·20”蔡政府两岸政策如何调整步伐,但大陆方面也不会仅把蔡英文就职周年演说的言词作为唯一依据,而是以全面性、多角度看待其总体上是否释出善意。文章提到,访台的陆方学者大多认为,想要打破两岸僵局,蔡英文仍应以“九二共识”的精神为方向进行调整。
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