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大陆4架军机被爆于10日以顺时针方向绕行台湾一圈,这是16天之内第二次出现同类现象。此前台“国防部”官员证实在11月25日,大陆多架军机曾以逆时针方向绕行台湾一圈。台湾中央日报网络报12日警告称,这两次相反方向的飞行明显展露出解放军对台湾的包抄之势,前所未见,更无法想象会发生在此前8年两岸关系和平发展时期,令人不能不认为由于蔡英文拒不承认“九二共识”,导致两岸升高军事对立。
猜测未来将有加油机伴随
12日台湾“立法院外交国防委员会”开会,解放军军机绕台议题最受“立委”关注。“国防部长”冯世宽称,要看“第一岛链”地区的政治情况,不否认解放军军机类似飞训密集度还会增加,至于未来是否有战机、加油机伴随,则“料敌从宽,不排除”。针对民进党提问“如果中方军机故障迫降,我们怎么办”,冯世宽回答说,台湾上月底曾在太平岛进行人道救援演习,如果未来发生这种情况,“在现在两岸没有发生战争行为之下,我们应以人道救援心态接纳,并且尽快协助修复离开”。而未来如果任何一方的飞机误闯入台方“领空”,“也会派战机近距离监控”。
资料图:台军F-16战斗机准备起飞
同一天,台“参谋本部”情报次长张延廷中将透露,依据台湾掌握的解放军训练计划,每年会实施4次这种远海长航,今年的4次分别出现在9月12日、9月25日、11月25日和12月10日,机队组成都是轰—6轰炸机,搭配电子侦察机,其中前两次是由海军航空兵执行,分别穿越巴士海峡与宫古水道;后两次则由空军担纲,并且首度尝试不循原路返回,而绕行台湾一圈,但并未进入台“防空识别区”。至于为何今年解放军的4次长航都集中在年底,相关官员称,可能年初正逢大陆推动军改,接着就是台风季节,所以一路耽搁到年底。联合新闻网12日猜测,随着解放军改为五大战区制,战区司令员未必一定由陆军将领担任,尤其正对着台湾、日本的东部战区,海军和空军角色吃重,因此在空军“露脸”之后,预期接下来解放军海军航空队会跟进,而且会有空中加油机与战斗机随行,甚至解放军舰队也会航至西太平洋,与空中战机搭配操演。至于辽宁舰与舰载机,台媒称,它们目前仍处于训练学习阶段,至今不曾派出“第一岛链”之外,预期不会参加这一系列的操演。台“国防部”分析认为,以大陆海航的兵力,若要执行绕台飞行,在技术上不成问题;唯一需要考虑的是,近来日方与陆方军机在东海上空不断接触,累积不少摩擦,“如何展现实力又维持斗而不破,避免擦枪走火,才是北京方面的考虑”。
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