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俄军来中国南海演习意义重大:为此不惜得罪越南

2016-08-01 08:00:00   观察者网

资料图:“瓦良格”号导弹巡洋舰

原标题:观察者网一周军情|俄海军在南海有什么用?

在本周四召开的国防部例行记者会上,国防部新闻局局长、国防部新闻发言人杨宇军大校进一步公布了关于中俄海上联合军演的具体消息。令人振奋的是,根据中俄双方达成的共识,中俄两国海军将于9月举行代号为“海上联合-2016”的联合军事演习,演习海域,则在南海相关海空域。

虽然在这一声明中同时又跟上了一连串诸如“例行性演习”、“不针对第三方”之类的传统客套话,但是在南海因为所谓国际法院的“南海仲裁”变成一滩“浑水”之后,俄罗斯大大方方地来和中国“趟这摊浑水”,本身就显示了中俄两国在战略问题上不只是“互信”,而是互相支持的合作状态。尤其是此前曾经传出过所谓俄罗斯否认支持中国在南海立场的说法,在即将进行的演习面前,可谓不攻自破。

按照俄罗斯媒体近日援引该国海军作战训练局局长科切马佐夫的话说,俄太平洋舰队将至少派出4艘舰艇参演,中国海军参演舰艇将更多。考虑到南海举行演习以及超出了俄军小型舰艇的一般作战半径,俄罗斯在南海演习上必然会出动不少大型舰艇。按照笔者的猜测,如果俄军派出4艘舰艇参加演习的话,编队很可能由太平洋舰队旗舰“瓦良格”号导弹巡洋舰领衔,再辅以1艘956型导弹驱逐舰或者1155型大型反潜舰,并配上俄海军远洋舰队的标配——舰队补给舰和远洋拖船各一艘。如果编队舰艇数量还有增加,除了增添一艘驱逐舰外,也有可能增加一艘坦克登陆舰,并搭载一支连级规模的海军陆战队。若是如此,则这次的中俄南海军演,在地缘政治上的作用,远比一开始想象的要深厚。

平心而论,1164型“瓦良格”导弹巡洋舰尽管外形威武、吨位不小,但在当代人民海军眼里,已经不是什么先进的水面舰艇,该舰上世纪80年代水平的电子设备早已全面落后时代,以SA-N-6舰空导弹为核心的区域防空系统对于现在的中国海军来说也已经不算先进,唯一比较先进是其换装没有几年的P-1000“火山”反舰导弹,但考虑在南海相对狭窄的封闭海区内,其使用显然不如空射的鹰击-12反舰导弹来的方便。比起南海驱逐舰第9支队清一色的052D驱逐舰编队,俄罗斯太平洋舰队的水面舰艇部队就算倾其所有,也只能算是龙王面前献宝,这样一支舰队,就算真的和中国“同盟”在南海并肩作战,其实际发挥的战斗力依然有限。

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