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舆论提醒蔡英文“认清自己” 不要期待“蜜月期”

2016-03-22 11:18:23   萧师言 周礼

【环球时报综合报道】距离蔡英文5·20就职剩不到两个月,绿营内部最近气氛很诡谲。台湾《中央日报》称,日前苏贞昌、游锡堃两大派系龙头都有动作。苏贞昌的女儿、“立委”苏巧慧提出“两国论”版监督条例草案迄今没退;游锡堃日前更抛出“以台湾之名加入联合国的主张”。另有深绿要求蔡英文应于5·20特赦陈水扁。

香港中评社21日称,大陆的压力还没有让绿营支持者有很痛的感觉。中国和冈比亚复交震撼民进党,前“立委”郭正亮预测这是地动山摇序曲。前扁办主任陈淞山评估这只是一碟小菜,后面还会出重手。“地动山摇”如果发生,会很震撼,台湾民众不分蓝绿都会很痛,已进入体制的白色力量与“太阳花运动”也会扛不住,压力会涌向蔡英文。

台湾《联合报》21日引述淡江大学国际事务与战略研究所教授黄介正的话称,大陆方面的态度很像是一座冰山,一方面坚持自己的路线,不会退让;但同时也把话说清楚:船只只要遵循“航行规范”,就绝对安然无事,但如果对方坚持自行其是,那也不在乎发生碰撞。

台湾《中国时报》称,现在蔡英文走在一条钢索上,一边是中国大陆,目前大陆倾向于暂时采取“重批独,轻批蔡”的对台方针,等于给蔡英文某种空间“听其言,观其行”。另一边蔡英文面临民进党内的压力,前“行政院长”游锡堃说要推动以“台湾名义加入国际组织”,形同“扁朝挑衅复辟”!民进党创党党员、新潮流派大佬洪奇昌,近年来因为立场接近“九二共识”,竟然遭到民进党新潮流派除名处分!蔡英文宣称“希望大陆多展现些善意”,但她真能力排“独派”掣肘,在钢索上举重若轻、稳健前行吗?

英国广播公司称,蔡英文不要期待自己的“蜜月期”。报道称,虽然蔡英文当选的一种解读是其“治国”理念得到岛内民众肯定,不过在此前台湾民间一片倒国民党的氛围下,更广泛的解读是并非蔡英文击败国民党,而是声望低迷的马英九“自爆”造成国民党倒台。如果情况是后者,那么新政府执政若不能拿出成绩,只是靠其强调的“沟通”,其与民众蜜月期可能不会太长。报道称,这样的例子在宣传自己是高智商、高效率的台北市长柯文哲身上已经发生。同样是在倒国民党浪潮高涨下击败国民党对手的柯文哲,虽获得众多台媒为其聚集温度,网络上也有一批铁杆支持者,但近期的民调显示,其支持率已跌破五成。

美智库学者卜睿哲日前接受岛内媒体采访时称,一旦大陆对蔡英文5·20讲话及未来两岸政策感到失望,其对蔡英文执政可能采取“有限惩罚”及“全面惩罚”等方式。台“国安局”副局长王德麟21日称,有限惩罚可能指两岸经贸协议部分会中断,两岸会谈也不会这么开放,详细情况他们正在搜集中。

【环球时报驻台北特约记者 萧师言 环球时报特约记者 周礼】

责任编辑:张海潮 CM013
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