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日媒臆测中美四种交战情况 称每一种美国都占便宜

2016-02-18 09:36:23   环球网

资料图:美军B2轰炸机投弹

日本《产经新闻》17日的报道分析了所谓美中交战的四种方案。中国专家认为,在目前亚太局势日趋紧张的背景下,日本媒体的这种所谓推演是别有用心的挑拨。

报道称,中国自古就有“不战而屈人之兵”的谋略。如今也有许多国家利用这一计谋,通过夸大军事实力的手段来威慑对手以抑制战争。从世界军事平衡来看,美国是唯一的超级大国,尤其是海军实力,无论从质和量上都没有对手。但是,如今美国正面临中国的挑战。在两国出现冲突时,外交磋商的结果往往由“一旦发生战争哪方将取胜”这一认识来决定,而美中对话的关键在于双方所持的最具影响力的王牌,即战争走势。

报道称,中国现在对美军采取的是拒止战略。对美战争的场景是,通过陆地、舰艇和战机搭载的数百枚巡航导弹和弹道导弹发起突袭,对驻日本和西太平洋的美军前沿部队予以打击,重创美军战斗意志,而美军要阻止中国接近这些地区,之后转为战略守势。但中国对美战略的主要武器——反舰导弹的效果尚未可知。

文章称,美国目前就对华战争提出4种方案。一是中国本土攻击战略。通过强化分散在关岛和日本的基地的兵力躲过中国的导弹攻击之后,部署于前线的海军和空军联合对中国本土进行攻击,并破坏中国的战斗网。虽然该战略在突破解放军在沿海岸的强大防线时美军将受到重创,但将使中国面临危机。这也是令中国屈服的“高风险和高回报”战略。二是海上限制战争战略。不攻击中国本土,战斗只限于东海和南海,击沉中国海军的主要战舰和潜艇,使中国海军受重创。该战略是美军不突破解放军沿海防线,只在美军处于优势的海域展开战斗,损失也较小。同时,对中国的打击也更小,让中国留有主张自己没有失败的余地,也是在不将中国逼入绝境的情况下寻找妥协点的战略。三是海上封锁战略。美军不展开攻势,而是联合日本和菲律宾防住第一岛链,将中国海军封锁于东海和南海,攻击解放军无法部署战力的太平洋和印度洋的运输船,切断中国海上运输线,勒紧依赖对外贸易的中国经济,迫使中国政府改变战略。四是代理战争战略。由美国的地区同盟国在一线执行以上战略,美军只在后方展开支援。文章称,该战略的风险最低,回报也最高。

一名不愿透露姓名的中国军事专家17日对《环球时报》记者表示,这四种所谓的中美交战情况完全是日本媒体一厢情愿的臆测。在目前亚太局势日趋紧张的背景下,日媒这么做有着明显的挑拨之意。

责任编辑:张海潮 CM013
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