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俄:中国目标是美国 对印度造氢弹不值得大惊小怪

2014-06-25 14:23:05   环球网

【环球军事报道】据俄罗斯之声网站6月24日报道,俄罗斯专家在评论简氏信息集团有关印度可能将在2015年年中造出热核武器的消息时指出,印度之所以需要氢弹是为了提高自己作为世界强国和多极世界力量中心之一的形象,加大制衡和限制巴基斯坦与中国影响力的潜力。

根据简氏信息集团的资料,位于印度南部迈索尔市附近的稀有金属厂生产的武器级铀多于核潜艇舰队所需。这为印度将来制造氢弹提供了可能。现在仅有俄罗斯、美国、中国、英国和法国拥有氢弹。俄罗斯科学院世界经济与国际关系研究所国际安全中心专家德沃尔金退役少将认为,世界上第六国拥有氢弹不值得大惊小怪。

德沃尔金说:“这很实际。印度核技术水平足够高。何况它在和平利用核能方面又与美国合作,而这又让它有了掌握新技术的可能。这不会给安全带来任何威胁。印度早已是有核国家。它利用自己的核潜力,既是为了遏制巴基斯坦,也是为了抗衡中国。我倒不认为这有什么奇怪的,对巴基斯坦和中国来说这也不是什么轰动性新闻。”

印度在1998年进行了一系列新的核实验后正式宣布,自己是有核国家。当时如同现在一样,也是印度人民党执政,总理是阿塔尔·比哈里·瓦杰帕伊。俄罗斯科学院东方学研究所专家绍米扬认为,莫迪也在争取保持本党政策在这一问题上的优势。

绍米扬说:“印度需要氢弹是为了给自己造形象。我不觉得,印度安全一直面临的威胁现在会骤然升级。何况,刚刚执政的新政府,希望首先同邻国、同中国加强关系——至少有这样的推测。巴基斯坦总理谢里夫出席了莫迪就职仪式,这是两国整个历史上的首次。因此,印度造氢弹是一个涉及民族自决和形象的问题。我不认为,氢弹对印度应对安全威胁如此至关重要。”

地缘政治问题研究院第一副院长西夫科夫不很认同绍米扬的观点。这位俄罗斯军事专家指出,在不久的将来印度有可能拥有三种携带核弹头的手段,即飞机、弹道导弹和核潜艇。这是一个关乎印度生死存亡的问题。

西夫科夫说:“全球军事紧张日渐升级。印度加强自己的导弹与核潜力,是希望确保自身的安全。这是任何一个国家的合法追求,对印度来说也是客观需要。中国有热核弹。印度出现氢弹可能招致中国不满以及核力量的进一步加强。不过中国与美国也在接近公开冲突。中国自身将加强自己的力量,包括核力量,但不是为了对付印度,而是为了应对美国。”

中国暂时对简氏信息集团报告中的结论还没有做出任何反应。巴基斯坦的态度异常谨慎。巴基斯坦执政党穆斯林联盟发言人称,“我们不希望搞军备竞赛。这不会给两国带来任何好处。”印度也没有对报告结论做出任何评论。

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