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美媒:中国售巴基斯坦歼-10B或因俄态度松动成功

2014-06-06 11:54:08   环球网

【环球军事报道】据美国《防务新闻》周刊网站6月4日报道,分析人士对俄罗斯决定放松长期以来对巴基斯坦实行的武器供应限制政策,并向巴出售武装直升机表示欢迎,但对最终的结果没有把握。

外国媒体称,巴基斯坦国防部发言人没有对两国国防部官员讨论的具体细节发表评论,只是说目前正在商讨相关事宜。

前澳大利亚驻伊斯兰堡武官布赖恩·克劳利说,俄罗斯武器在成本方面——“不只是采购,还有操作、维护以及最终升级”的成本——具有很大的优势。

他说:“印度和巴基斯坦都发现,虽然美国的国防产品很好,但价格奇高,而且使用起来的成本也很高。因此,明智之举是寻找价格合理、既不过于复杂又不需要花大价钱采购和维护的装备。”

巴基斯坦智囊机构军事联合会的分析人士哈里斯·汗说,巴基斯坦想从俄罗斯采购的武器非常多。不过他说,目前所说的可能会采购的直升机很可能不是“雌鹿”米-35,而是“浩劫”米-28。

哈里斯·汗说,在武器转让方面,即便俄罗斯只是略微放松限制,也会有利于中国和巴基斯坦之间达成武器交易,比如中国和巴基斯坦可能围绕歼-10B的改型FC-20战斗机达成的交易。

他说:“如果这扇门敞开,那么AL-31F发动机的问题和FC-20战斗机的交易就可以向前推进步。”AL-31F指的是FC-20所使用的俄罗斯发动机。

斯德哥尔摩国际和平研究所武器转让和武器制造计划的资深研究员西蒙·韦泽曼说,巴基斯坦可能会“寻求中国尚未制造或尚不准备出口的俄罗斯装备类型”。

韦泽曼也认为,与资金不宽裕的巴基斯坦之间的国防交易“不会让俄罗斯发大财”,不过不同于巴基斯坦与中国签署的非常灵活的武器交易,巴方仍必须为从俄罗斯购买的这些装备支付费用。

报道称,一个重要的问题是,这会对俄罗斯与其在南亚的战略伙伴、巴基斯坦的夙敌印度之间的关系产生何种影响。

韦泽曼说:“迄今为止,印度一直试图说服俄罗斯不要向巴基斯坦出售过多先进的武器。俄罗斯已经向巴基斯坦交付了一些米-17直升机,而这并没有对印巴力量对比造成多大影响,不过向巴基斯坦出售改进版的米-24武装直升机就是另外一回事了。这一交易的时机对于俄印关系而言几乎可以说是非常错误的。”

韦泽曼指出:“印度仍然是俄罗斯的重要市场,在某种程度上讲,也是俄罗斯在研制像PAKFA(第五代战斗机)这种新型武器时,非常需要的出资方。”

不过,韦泽曼说,俄罗斯也许仍然能让印度相信,它与巴基斯坦达成的武器交易“在数量和技术水平上都是有限的,未来主要用于巴基斯坦对付国内的极端分子”。

克劳利表示,印度可能不像人们以为的那样反对俄罗斯与巴基斯坦达成武器交易。

他说:“从国际关系以及现实的角度讲,巴基斯坦采购俄罗斯军用直升机这件事非常有趣,甚至耐人寻味,因为这标志着各方都变得更加务实。”

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